Monday, September 9, 2024

News and Ideas Worth Sharing

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CAPITAL IDEAS: Lower interest rates can be bad for the economy

Lower interest rates could both help and hurt the U.S. economy, depending on the pace, magnitude, and expected path of each.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Recession odds lowering

Anxious as I may be, I know that I must be flexible in my thinking, and data is more important than fear.

CAPITAL IDEAS: 2020 vision

The market is going to move slower or faster toward fair value for a whole host of reasons, and to think it’ll get there on some exact day is just dumb.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Politics, policies and stock prices

Dalton -- Volatility in the stock market has become subdued over the last few weeks as U.S.-China trade talks have turned more positive. On...

CAPITAL IDEAS: The growth vs. value of high school reunions

Our shift from growth to value throughout last year has been small in magnitude and snail-slow. We didn’t want to get too defensive and lose out on the upside, and value stocks allow for the possibility of participating on the upside.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Impeachy keen

Only three U.S. presidents have faced impeachment proceedings. It makes it hard for me to use impeachment threats or proceedings as a tool to determine where U.S. stocks will go.

CAPITAL IDEAS: From Maestro’s lips

When it comes to the movement of stock prices and how those prices reflect fundamental data, good vs. bad is largely irrelevant. What matters is not good vs. bad, but better vs. worse.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Mortgage madness

Where the economy might go from here is another conversation, but we do know that defaults on existing debt are relatively tame, meaning that consumers are not yet feeling overwhelmed.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Jackson Holy Moly!

The chairman appeared to be sending a message to the White House that its trade war is pushing the U.S. toward a recession, and that the Fed may not have the tools to bail us out if that happens.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Big data: Where is the ‘smart’ money going?

I say that we financial advisors are “supposed” to be smarter, but I’m not sure how true that is.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Heartbreaker, dream maker

After this week’s meeting, the real conversation begins: Will there be a Fed cut in July? In September?

CAPITAL IDEAS: What happens in small-town America

Do you know who gets the worst returns in the stock market? People who buy something because it’s gone up in price and sell something because it’s gone down in price. Time and time again, following the crowd has proven to be the stupidest thing in the world of investing.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Enough is enough

It's very easy for me to tell you what to do at extremes: Do what feels the worst and go against the crowd. But we’re not at extremes now; indicators are mixed. So what to do now?

CAPITAL IDEAS: Less talk, more tariffs

The threat of more tariffs to be imposed by the U.S. just before talks were to begin was a dangerous game of diplomacy chicken, which didn’t end well as the Chinese said they were going to retaliate by raising tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. goods starting June 1.

CAPITAL IDEAS: Buffett-stock and China gets rocked

Dalton -- Berkshire Hathaway, the multinational conglomerate headed by famed investor Warren Buffett, held its annual shareholder meeting this past weekend. It’s like Woodstock for...

CAPITAL IDEAS: Ladies Business Group

Although going through the value growth process takes one to five years, the most common question I get from business owners is “What can I do now to improve my business today?”

CAPITAL IDEAS: Mid-term concern is so last week

You can see the yin and yang between the dangers of an international trade dispute and a U.S. economy so strong the Fed has its sights set to slow it down.
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